Hi there! :)
What are the chances of catching the mindblowing Aurora Borealis at Svalbard around Mid March in 2016?
In general chances are better further south - the aurora oval are more often over Tromsø than further north. And nights are shorter at Svalbard due to the long twilight hours at this latitude.Edited: 08 December 2015, 21:35
Anywhere beyond the arctic circle will do. You need a clear sky - that is the challenge.
and welcome to the forum.
If you look up the Tromsø forum you will find everything you may want of information about the Northern lights:
If you have already booked to go to Longyearbyen it's a bit late to be worrying. Tromso would have been a better place to base yourself. There's a much better infrastructure to go looking for the clear skies, a lot of tours and more to see if the weather is bad. Tromso sits under the Aurora oval but Longyearbyen is much nearer the edge.
I guess you have also taken into account the very low temperatures in March, averages about -10 and add to that wind chill. Do make sure you have plenty of cold weather gear.
I do hope you did plenty of research before you booked. Enjoy
I think it's to late for see NL at Svalbard in mid-March...
On the main land in Northern Norway, we end the Aurora season in mid-April due the daylight. One month later from mid-May we have midnight sun 24/7 in 2 months...
Since Svalbard has midnight sun in 4 months, then the daylight period stars one month earlier than the main land. Ergo: in mid-March!
Sunrise sunset times for Longyearbyen - www.timeanddate.com/sun/norway/longyearbyen…
Doesn't get darker than Astronomical twilight, in mid March about 4 hrs of Astro twilight when it should be dark enough to see a strong aurora. About the same as early April in Tromsø.
The days increase a lot faster in Longyearbyen than in Tromso so your estimate Guide Gunnar is not totally accurate. There is still some night in Longyearbyen mid-March : www.timeanddate.com/sun/norway/longyearbyen… (more than in Tromso mid-April), but decreasing fast and end March the nights are getting really short. And as stated above the aurora oval is usually stronger over Tromso.
So I guess it can happen but I hope it is not the main purpose of the trip.
Last night with dark sky (astronomical twilight) in Longyearbyen next spring is Saturday 5. March. Fourteen days later - 19. March - it will only reach civil twilight (no darkness), so I guess it is a bit late go hunting Aurora in Longyearbyen mid March.